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This article seeks to investigate the impact of aging on functional connectivity across different cognitive control scenarios, particularly emphasizing the identification of brain regions significantly associated with early aging. By conceptualizing functional connectivity within each cognitive control scenario as a graph, with brain regions as nodes, the statistical challenge revolves around devising a regression framework to predict a binary scalar outcome (aging or normal) using multiple graph predictors. Popular regression methods utilizing multiplex graph predictors often face limitations in effectively harnessing information within and across graph layers, leading to potentially less accurate inference and predictive accuracy, especially for smaller sample sizes. To address this challenge, we propose the Bayesian Multiplex Graph Classifier (BMGC). Accounting for multiplex graph topology, our method models edge coefficients at each graph layer using bilinear interactions between the latent effects associated with the two nodes connected by the edge. This approach also employs a variable selection framework on node-specific latent effects from all graph layers to identify influential nodes linked to observed outcomes. Crucially, the proposed framework is computationally efficient and quantifies the uncertainty in node identification, coefficient estimation, and binary outcome prediction. BMGC outperforms alternative methods in terms of the aforementioned metrics in simulation studies. An additional BMGC validation was completed using an fMRI study of brain networks in adults. The proposed BMGC technique identified that sensory motor brain network obeys certain lateral symmetries, whereas the default mode network exhibits significant brain asymmetries associated with early aging. 

Abstract BackgroundThe clinical utility of machine-learning (ML) algorithms for breast cancer risk prediction and screening practices is unknown. We compared classification of lifetime breast cancer risk based on ML and the BOADICEA model. We explored the differences in risk classification and their clinical impact on screening practices. MethodsWe used three different ML algorithms and the BOADICEA model to estimate lifetime breast cancer risk in a sample of 112,587 individuals from 2481 families from the Oncogenetic Unit, Geneva University Hospitals. Performance of algorithms was evaluated using the area under the receiver operating characteristic (AU-ROC) curve. Risk reclassification was compared for 36,146 breast cancer-free women of ages 20–80. The impact on recommendations for mammography surveillance was based on the Swiss Surveillance Protocol. ResultsThe predictive accuracy of ML-based algorithms (0.843 ≤ AU-ROC ≤ 0.889) was superior to BOADICEA (AU-ROC = 0.639) and reclassified 35.3% of women in different risk categories. The largest reclassification (20.8%) was observed in women characterised as ‘near population’ risk by BOADICEA. Reclassification had the largest impact on screening practices of women younger than 50. ConclusionML-based reclassification of lifetime breast cancer risk occurred in approximately one in three women. Reclassification is important for younger women because it impacts clinical decision- making for the initiation of screening. 

Regional morphological analysis represents a crucial step in most neuroimaging studies. Results from brain segmentation techniques are intrinsically prone to certain degrees of variability, mainly as results of suboptimal segmentation. To reduce this inherent variability, the errors are often identified through visual inspection and then corrected (semi)manually. Identification and correction of incorrect segmentation could be very expensive for large-scale studies. While identification of the incorrect results can be done relatively fast even with manual inspection, the correction step is extremely time-consuming, as it requires training staff to perform laborious manual corrections. Here we frame the correction phase of this problem as a missing data problem. Instead of manually adjusting the segmentation outputs, our computational approach aims to derive accurate morphological measures by machine learning imputation. Data imputation techniques may be used to replace missing or incorrect region average values with carefully chosen imputed values, all of which are computed based on other available multivariate informa- tion. We examined our approach of correcting segmentation outputs on a cohort of 970 subjects, which were undergone an extensive, time-consuming, manual post-segmentation correction. A random forest imputation technique recovered the gold standard results with a significant accuracy (r = 0.93, p < 0.0001; when 30% of the segmentations were considered incorrect in a non-random fashion). The random forest technique proved to be most effective for big data studies (N > 250).